Winter 2005

Time-Out for "Reflection"

Foreword

The gloomy EU mood hasn’t really changed much since the last issue of TIP. So far the period of “reflection” after the French referendum nixed the EU constitutional treaty hasn’t led to much but stagnation.

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Europe

An Empire of Law and Consensus. A call for a Europe–and Europeans–beyond the nation-state

Essay by Ulrich Beck

Europe can become neither a state nor a nation–and it won’t. Hence it cannot be thought of in terms of the nation-state. The path to the -unification of Europe leads not through uniformity but rather through -acknowledgment of its national particularities. Diversity is the very source of Europe’s potential creativity. The solution to national problems lies only in European interaction.

Endgame in the Balkans. Croatia, Serbia, Bosnia, and even Kosovo are now moving

Analysis by Borut Grgic

After five years in legal limbo, Kosovo is now set to get its “final status” clarified, in talks that will start in a few weeks. The interlocutors will be the Kosovar Albanians, the Serbian government, and internationals led by former Finnish President Martti Ahtisaari. Simultaneously, Croatia is starting negotiations about EU membership, and Serbia and Bosnia are starting talks with the EU on Stabilization and Association Agreements.

Dayton at Ten: A View from Washington. In solving global problems, US leadership is indispensable

Analysis by Derek Chollet

Dayton was a “maximalist” agreement; it created a bold blueprint for a new state. Yet many areas of Dayton’s implementation have suffered from “minimalism,” whether because of the limits placed on the instruments the agreement created for implementation, or because those responsible for implementation have interpreted their powers narrowly.

Violent Islamists in the UK and Europe. The British government’s complacency is not warranted

Essay by Alexander Alexiev

The British government’s complacency is misplaced. Violent Islamists pose a real threat

Failure in the Third Generation. Why should the grandsons favor more European integration?

Comment by Kiran Klaus Patel

The main problem of the EU is its unprecedented success. The founding fathers sought above all to eliminate war from a bloody continent. Their project succeeded so well that peace is now taken for granted. The average European is no longer grateful that war has been made unthinkable.

Who Owns the Sea?

Comment by Charles Clover

As the world’s seas become the last–grossly overfished–frontier, who is the sheriff?

German Foreign Policy

Germany’s Role in the World. Berlin is one of the UN’s big donors and a major peacekeeper

Essay by Bernd Mützelburg

Germany and Europe’s security and stability have grown since the end of the cold war. The old “German question” has been solved. Embedded in European integration, a sovereign Germany has now taken on a very new role of sharing joint responsibility for maintaining international stability and order. To maximize effective crisis management in a world in which no single nation can solve global problems, the UN Security Council system must be revised–and Germany belongs at the table.

How the Germans See the World

Analysis by Constanze Stelzenmüller

Left and right both reject Bush’s foreign policy. But young Germans favor “regime change”

Searching for a Grand Strategy. A scorecard on seven turbulent years of red-green foreign policy

Analysis by Joachim Krause

As the outgoing Social Democratic-Green government hands the reins over to the conservative-Social Democratic “grand” coalition, it’s time to assess red-green foreign policy over the last seven years. The good news is Germany’s participation today in international intervention. The bad news is a lingering desire to cock a snook at the United States. After the cold war ended in 1989/90, Germany found it hard to define the new challenges to foreign policy and develop a coherent strategy to face these challenges. A decade and a half later, a fundamental debate over the future tasks, goals, and mechanisms of German foreign and security policy is long overdue.

China/Russia

Nationalism as Unifier–and Risk. Does nationalism make China’s rise less peaceful?

Essay by Suisheng Zhao

Chinese nationalism is far more complex than emotional anti-Japanese street demonstrations might suggest. It has been an instrument for -rallying support during the rapid, turbulent transformation of a Communist to a post-Communist society. But the government has striven to keep passions under control and to keep foreign policy prudential. The question of whether it is succeeding or not remains open.

How Not to Deal with a Backsliding Russia. Distinct authoritarian trends are emerging in Putin’s Kremlin

Essay by Heinrich Vogel

Russian foreign policy has managed to play off the competitive reflexes of Western governments, which are jockeying for privileged access to Putin.

Russia’s Near Abroad. What will happen the next time a Soviet successor state rebels?

Comment by Marek A. Cichocki

How will the Kremlin act next time around? After its rebuffs in 2004 in the Rose and Orange Revolutions in Georgia and Ukraine, how will Moscow behave when the next country in Russia’s sphere of influence seeks to dilute that influence?

Failed and Failing States

Two-Thirds of the World. Governance in areas of limited statehood is a global problem

Analysis by Thomas Risse

The endemic problems of failed and limited statehood–humanitarian -catastrophes, pandemics, hunger, and underdevelopment–are no longer “just” the isolated problems of the so-called Third World. They directly affect the security and prosperity of the developed world.

War in the Failed Republic of Chechnya. After Maskhadov’s death, Basayev is the only leader left

Analysis by Sonja Zekri

The execution of Maskhadov left the much more brutal Basayev as the only Chechen leader

Service
Documentation

Documents on EU Foreign Policy

All documents in this issue of TIP deal with EU foreign policy and/or that mix of “domestic” and foreign policy in the negotiations with neighboring countries that are candidates for full EU membership or for the precursor Stabilization and Association Agreement (SAA) with the EU.

European Diary

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